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Office leases are the slowest possible referendum on remote work

Ten-year leases mean the decision made in 2019 is still shaping where people sit in 2029.

Office leases
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  • Corporate property decisions move on a decade-long cycle, which makes them a terrible instrument for measuring a change in working habits that happened in a month.Sunk cost with a signatureA company holding space it no longer needs has a standing incentive to fill it, and that incentive is frequently mistaken for a policy conviction about collaboration.The real signalWatch lease renewals and sublet listings rather than return-to-office announcements.
  • One is a cost, the other is a press release.
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    Corporate property decisions move on a decade-long cycle, which makes them a terrible instrument for measuring a change in working habits that happened in a month.

    Sunk cost with a signature

    A company holding space it no longer needs has a standing incentive to fill it, and that incentive is frequently mistaken for a policy conviction about collaboration.

    The real signal

    Watch lease renewals and sublet listings rather than return-to-office announcements. One is a cost, the other is a press release.

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    Adrian Vance

    Adrian Vance

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    Writes a weekly column on markets, work and cities.

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